kestrel
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Market #99

settled
DNvF8ads…UAxUerAz
Window
OpenApr 26, 12:20 (2026-04-26 12:20 UTC)
CloseApr 26, 12:25 (2026-04-26 12:25 UTC)
Strike77,990.50
Final78,003.59
WinnerUP
Rawyes
create_marketXQfBe…7XEJ3delegate_market3UD3b…ABVvPopen_marketndNTT…CNxs6close_market4h3hV…hMqM7settle_positions3vZm3…o72hhcommit_and_undelegate5nXCw…Q2VjN
Timeline
Create marketBASE12:05:08
id=99 open=1777206000 close=1777206300actor 7dcF…iNwZXQfBeN…57XEJ3
Delegate marketBASE12:05:10
actor 7dcF…iNwZ3UD3bN…WABVvP
Open marketER12:20:06
seed=1000000actor 7dcF…iNwZndNTTi…dCNxs6
Place betER12:20:42
YES • 200000actor 4Rkk…qPe15USM3i…iwUybz
Inputs
SideYES
Stake (USDC)0.2
Strike77,990.50
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.5
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature5USM3i…iwUybz
Actor4Rkk…qPe1
Bet attemptedER12:20:42
YES • 200000actor 4Rkk…qPe15USM3i…iwUybz
Inputs
SideYES
Stake (USDC)0.2
Strike77,990.50
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.5
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature5USM3i…iwUybz
Actor4Rkk…qPe1
Bet placedER12:20:42
YES • amount=200000 shares=166667actor 4Rkk…qPe15USM3i…iwUybz
Place betER12:20:56
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtWcmbZtp…JcM9Mk
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike77,990.50
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
SignaturecmbZtp…JcM9Mk
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Bet attemptedER12:20:56
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtWcmbZtp…JcM9Mk
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike77,990.50
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
SignaturecmbZtp…JcM9Mk
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Bet placedER12:20:56
NO • amount=75000 shares=99083actor 8mV1…DDtWcmbZtp…JcM9Mk
Place betER12:21:17
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW4SmgQj…X8rAH8
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike77,990.50
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature4SmgQj…X8rAH8
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Bet attemptedER12:21:17
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW4SmgQj…X8rAH8
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike77,990.50
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature4SmgQj…X8rAH8
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Bet placedER12:21:17
NO • amount=75000 shares=83968actor 8mV1…DDtW4SmgQj…X8rAH8
Cancel betER12:22:28
full positionactor 4Rkk…qPe13AJcRP…Frfmwc
Strike77,990.50
accepted
Cancel betER12:24:46
full positionactor 8mV1…DDtW2toTyi…peRaQy
Strike77,990.50
accepted
Close marketER12:25:34
actor 7dcF…iNwZ4h3hVo…ShMqM7
Market closedER12:25:34
id=99 winner=Yesactor 7dcF…iNwZ4h3hVo…ShMqM7
Commit + undelegateER12:26:21
actor 7dcF…iNwZ5nXCw6…SQ2VjN
Settle positionERblocked15:50:11
actor 4Rkk…qPe1g2kEu5…phr3oB
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:50:11
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe1g2kEu5…phr3oB
Settle positionERblocked15:23:12
actor 4Rkk…qPe13xjPXj…9D9Yf9
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:12
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe13xjPXj…9D9Yf9
Settle positionERblocked15:23:22
actor 4Rkk…qPe14ExaVb…jYLui5
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:22
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe14ExaVb…jYLui5
Settle positionERblocked15:23:32
actor 4Rkk…qPe15FKMiU…3zaQrx
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:32
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe15FKMiU…3zaQrx
Settle positionERblocked15:23:41
actor 4Rkk…qPe12ombx2…qEk6aQ
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:41
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe12ombx2…qEk6aQ
Settle positionERblocked15:50:21
actor 4Rkk…qPe1EZRkzf…GMpdWp
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:50:21
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe1EZRkzf…GMpdWp
Settle positionERblocked15:34:20
actor 4Rkk…qPe12Wv7Um…4hxcSt
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:20
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe12Wv7Um…4hxcSt
Settle positionERblocked15:34:30
actor 4Rkk…qPe1rBHm8Z…ZSnNHP
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:30
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe1rBHm8Z…ZSnNHP
Settle positionERblocked15:34:41
actor 4Rkk…qPe14eFVgp…hNVURR
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:41
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe14eFVgp…hNVURR
Settle positionERblocked15:23:51
actor 4Rkk…qPe15k6Z8B…VexYFR
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:51
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe15k6Z8B…VexYFR
Settle positionERblocked15:34:52
actor 4Rkk…qPe14cTo8e…kpcJhJ
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:52
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe14cTo8e…kpcJhJ
Settle positionERblocked15:24:00
actor 4Rkk…qPe13SNcXB…xMSQDE
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:00
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe13SNcXB…xMSQDE
Settle positionERblocked15:24:10
actor 4Rkk…qPe1CFe5CE…pqQUED
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:10
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe1CFe5CE…pqQUED
Settle positionERblocked15:24:19
actor 4Rkk…qPe14u3ap1…BwVQUj
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:19
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe14u3ap1…BwVQUj
Settle positionERblocked15:24:28
actor 4Rkk…qPe13vZm3s…Yo72hh
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:28
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe13vZm3s…Yo72hh