kestrel
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Market #94

settled
HD9H2pRD…n8EyLn6U
Window
OpenApr 26, 11:55 (2026-04-26 11:55 UTC)
CloseApr 26, 12:00 (2026-04-26 12:00 UTC)
Strike78,110.74
Final78,101.10
WinnerDOWN
Rawno
create_marketeeRJp…zWM1Zdelegate_marketZo8Qo…pKvGHopen_market5NVqD…34pTAclose_market2TrZG…m3kPjsettle_positions5F1Xd…nq8uucommit_and_undelegate2715s…R6jhG
Timeline
Create marketBASE11:40:13
id=94 open=1777204500 close=1777204800actor 7dcF…iNwZeeRJp4…TzWM1Z
Delegate marketBASE11:40:15
actor 7dcF…iNwZZo8Qox…6pKvGH
Open marketER11:55:03
seed=1000000actor 7dcF…iNwZ5NVqDm…E34pTA
Bet attemptedER11:55:24
YES • 200000actor 4Rkk…qPe15nExCF…mojAwY
Inputs
SideYES
Stake (USDC)0.2
Strike78,110.74
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.5
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature5nExCF…mojAwY
Actor4Rkk…qPe1
Place betER11:55:24
YES • 200000actor 4Rkk…qPe15nExCF…mojAwY
Inputs
SideYES
Stake (USDC)0.2
Strike78,110.74
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.5
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature5nExCF…mojAwY
Actor4Rkk…qPe1
Bet placedER11:55:24
YES • amount=200000 shares=166667actor 4Rkk…qPe15nExCF…mojAwY
Bet placedER11:55:28
NO • amount=75000 shares=99083actor 8mV1…DDtW2SYJ3r…ggarwu
Place betER11:55:28
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW2SYJ3r…ggarwu
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike78,110.74
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature2SYJ3r…ggarwu
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Bet attemptedER11:55:28
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW2SYJ3r…ggarwu
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike78,110.74
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature2SYJ3r…ggarwu
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Bet placedER11:55:34
NO • amount=75000 shares=83968actor 8mV1…DDtW46DseS…2wthFA
Place betER11:55:34
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW46DseS…2wthFA
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike78,110.74
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature46DseS…2wthFA
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Bet attemptedER11:55:34
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW46DseS…2wthFA
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike78,110.74
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature46DseS…2wthFA
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Cancel betER11:57:12
full positionactor 4Rkk…qPe14PmnJQ…hadxPZ
Strike78,110.74
accepted
Cancel betER11:59:44
full positionactor 8mV1…DDtW2mRd4j…jc6DXN
Strike78,110.74
accepted
Market closedER12:00:10
id=94 winner=Noactor 7dcF…iNwZ2TrZG7…jm3kPj
Close marketER12:00:10
actor 7dcF…iNwZ2TrZG7…jm3kPj
Commit + undelegateER12:00:14
actor 7dcF…iNwZ2715s4…hR6jhG
Agent settledER15:23:12
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe1hvNfSL…4exJKE
Settle positionERblocked15:23:12
actor 4Rkk…qPe1hvNfSL…4exJKE
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Settle positionERblocked15:23:22
actor 4Rkk…qPe1wXHYnX…3DzvT5
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:22
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe1wXHYnX…3DzvT5
Settle positionERblocked15:50:11
actor 4Rkk…qPe15wkhj2…r9pX3k
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:50:11
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe15wkhj2…r9pX3k
Settle positionERblocked15:23:31
actor 4Rkk…qPe1cSVYbf…e2MgSL
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:31
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe1cSVYbf…e2MgSL
Agent settledER15:23:41
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe15X6ANF…UfHqN8
Settle positionERblocked15:23:41
actor 4Rkk…qPe15X6ANF…UfHqN8
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Settle positionERblocked15:50:20
actor 4Rkk…qPe12b6oBf…f8REzW
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:50:20
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe12b6oBf…f8REzW
Settle positionERblocked15:34:19
actor 4Rkk…qPe13vcn7L…DJjnEa
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:19
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe13vcn7L…DJjnEa
Settle positionERblocked15:34:30
actor 4Rkk…qPe1yG8Gof…ehDhWT
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:30
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe1yG8Gof…ehDhWT
Settle positionERblocked15:23:51
actor 4Rkk…qPe15uBavn…agvjPD
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:51
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe15uBavn…agvjPD
Agent settledER15:34:41
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe1oDWYzQ…8Umx9G
Settle positionERblocked15:34:41
actor 4Rkk…qPe1oDWYzQ…8Umx9G
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:51
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe13Fw1kJ…ZQpv16
Settle positionERblocked15:34:51
actor 4Rkk…qPe13Fw1kJ…ZQpv16
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Settle positionERblocked15:24:00
actor 4Rkk…qPe13aQufo…qHYQE3
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:00
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe13aQufo…qHYQE3
Settle positionERblocked15:24:09
actor 4Rkk…qPe14VrEN2…2k8xkm
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:09
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe14VrEN2…2k8xkm
Agent settledER15:24:19
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe15u1SWQ…FbUSQx
Settle positionERblocked15:24:19
actor 4Rkk…qPe15u1SWQ…FbUSQx
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Settle positionERblocked15:24:28
actor 4Rkk…qPe15F1Xdu…Xnq8uu
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:28
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe15F1Xdu…Xnq8uu