kestrel
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Market #11

settled
2h63BMCy…9AtQ9Wgx
Window
OpenApr 26, 04:25 (2026-04-26 04:25 UTC)
CloseApr 26, 04:30 (2026-04-26 04:30 UTC)
Strike77,507.79
Final77,487.79
WinnerDOWN
Rawno
create_market6xvSE…zP2q1delegate_market5KxBL…aN363open_market4Kj8F…EDaULclose_market2fQaH…suWPvsettle_positions4K1Sf…QB6a1commit_and_undelegate54WrB…bV1FU
Timeline
Create marketBASE04:10:01
id=11 open=1777177500 close=1777177800actor 7dcF…iNwZ6xvSEM…7zP2q1
Delegate marketBASE04:10:02
actor 7dcF…iNwZ5KxBLG…ZaN363
Open marketER04:25:02
seed=1000000actor 7dcF…iNwZ4Kj8FS…bEDaUL
Place betER04:25:03
YES • 200000actor 4Rkk…qPe13fX2de…JEkBqX
Inputs
SideYES
Stake (USDC)0.2
Strike77,507.79
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.5
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature3fX2de…JEkBqX
Actor4Rkk…qPe1
Bet attemptedER04:25:03
YES • 200000actor 4Rkk…qPe13fX2de…JEkBqX
Inputs
SideYES
Stake (USDC)0.2
Strike77,507.79
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.5
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature3fX2de…JEkBqX
Actor4Rkk…qPe1
Bet placedER04:25:03
YES • amount=200000 shares=166667actor 4Rkk…qPe13fX2de…JEkBqX
Close marketER04:30:02
actor 7dcF…iNwZ2fQaHA…KsuWPv
Market closedER04:30:02
id=11 winner=Noactor 7dcF…iNwZ2fQaHA…KsuWPv
Commit + undelegateER04:30:05
actor 7dcF…iNwZ54WrB8…fbV1FU
Agent settledER15:23:12
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe13fxuBS…7aM6Cg
Settle positionERblocked15:23:12
actor 4Rkk…qPe13fxuBS…7aM6Cg
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Settle positionERblocked15:50:10
actor 4Rkk…qPe12Y9bhG…6LdLGB
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:50:10
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe12Y9bhG…6LdLGB
Settle positionERblocked15:23:21
actor 4Rkk…qPe15LiPWh…8igJLF
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:21
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe15LiPWh…8igJLF
Settle positionERblocked15:23:31
actor 4Rkk…qPe12Pzn8A…KMEGCg
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:31
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe12Pzn8A…KMEGCg
Agent settledER15:23:40
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe1261hNM…cBjZBy
Settle positionERblocked15:23:40
actor 4Rkk…qPe1261hNM…cBjZBy
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Settle positionERblocked15:50:20
actor 4Rkk…qPe1yb6xec…Ld1kEc
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:50:20
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe1yb6xec…Ld1kEc
Settle positionERblocked15:34:19
actor 4Rkk…qPe11r4WmT…Sn3Hgj
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:19
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe11r4WmT…Sn3Hgj
Agent settledER15:34:29
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe14fKbmQ…EhvmLi
Settle positionERblocked15:34:29
actor 4Rkk…qPe14fKbmQ…EhvmLi
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Settle positionERblocked15:23:50
actor 4Rkk…qPe13NWqfa…j77AsX
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:50
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe13NWqfa…j77AsX
Settle positionERblocked15:34:40
actor 4Rkk…qPe13wND2M…7Rf5Gc
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:40
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe13wND2M…7Rf5Gc
Settle positionERblocked15:34:51
actor 4Rkk…qPe1cfRvx8…5KEQbp
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:51
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe1cfRvx8…5KEQbp
Settle positionERblocked15:24:00
actor 4Rkk…qPe1WDwGyQ…6zq4Ab
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:00
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe1WDwGyQ…6zq4Ab
Settle positionERblocked15:24:09
actor 4Rkk…qPe14PSdA3…bj2ytK
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:09
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe14PSdA3…bj2ytK
Agent settledER15:24:18
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe1FMr2Wc…VZ9sWo
Settle positionERblocked15:24:18
actor 4Rkk…qPe1FMr2Wc…VZ9sWo
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Settle positionERblocked15:24:28
actor 4Rkk…qPe14K1SfQ…eQB6a1
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:28
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe14K1SfQ…eQB6a1