kestrel
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Market #104

closed
HB2SUWQm…athP4gNq
Window
OpenApr 26, 12:45 (2026-04-26 12:45 UTC)
CloseApr 26, 12:50 (2026-04-26 12:50 UTC)
Strike77,943.89
Final77,866.65
WinnerDOWN
Rawno
create_market2gvEa…UWpE7delegate_market3Sk7g…bcoGNopen_market61Ue3…28Gttclose_marketgFZkL…piP25settle_positions5B8vH…CNtEK
Timeline
Delegate marketBASE12:30:12
actor 7dcF…iNwZ3Sk7ga…wbcoGN
Create marketBASE12:30:11
id=104 open=1777207500 close=1777207800actor 7dcF…iNwZ2gvEaY…fUWpE7
Open marketER12:45:15
seed=1000000actor 7dcF…iNwZ61Ue3N…j28Gtt
Halt marketER12:45:21
actor 7dcF…iNwZ5tbRcW…KSCFMy
Market haltedER12:45:21
id=104actor 7dcF…iNwZ5tbRcW…KSCFMy
Resume marketER12:45:42
actor 7dcF…iNwZ4ZS4qK…YzQvHg
Market resumedER12:45:42
id=104actor 7dcF…iNwZ4ZS4qK…YzQvHg
Bet attemptedER12:45:52
YES • 200000actor 4Rkk…qPe12txhSh…7qXBBn
Inputs
SideYES
Stake (USDC)0.2
Strike77,943.89
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.5
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature2txhSh…7qXBBn
Actor4Rkk…qPe1
Place betER12:45:52
YES • 200000actor 4Rkk…qPe12txhSh…7qXBBn
Inputs
SideYES
Stake (USDC)0.2
Strike77,943.89
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.5
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature2txhSh…7qXBBn
Actor4Rkk…qPe1
Bet placedER12:45:52
YES • amount=200000 shares=166667actor 4Rkk…qPe12txhSh…7qXBBn
Bet attemptedER12:46:00
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW58hSs1…1aYAH1
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike77,943.89
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature58hSs1…1aYAH1
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Place betER12:46:00
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW58hSs1…1aYAH1
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike77,943.89
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature58hSs1…1aYAH1
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Bet placedER12:46:00
NO • amount=75000 shares=99083actor 8mV1…DDtW58hSs1…1aYAH1
Place betER12:46:06
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW4isHJW…mKLPvL
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike77,943.89
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature4isHJW…mKLPvL
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Bet attemptedER12:46:06
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW4isHJW…mKLPvL
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike77,943.89
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature4isHJW…mKLPvL
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Bet placedER12:46:06
NO • amount=75000 shares=83968actor 8mV1…DDtW4isHJW…mKLPvL
Cancel betER12:47:08
full positionactor 4Rkk…qPe153hKP2…LzcFbw
Strike77,943.89
accepted
Settle positionERblocked15:23:15
actor 4Rkk…qPe14Fg4Wd…C3Wy65
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:15
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe14Fg4Wd…C3Wy65
Settle positionERblocked15:23:24
actor 4Rkk…qPe1u9yn4i…zLCbju
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:24
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe1u9yn4i…zLCbju
Settle positionERblocked15:34:12
actor 4Rkk…qPe15g6uav…Xt6gxV
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:12
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe15g6uav…Xt6gxV
Agent settledER15:23:34
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe1Pm8QAf…dQvRRz
Settle positionERblocked15:23:34
actor 4Rkk…qPe1Pm8QAf…dQvRRz
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Settle positionERblocked15:23:43
actor 4Rkk…qPe15w95Dp…Rt4GB2
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:43
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe15w95Dp…Rt4GB2
Settle positionERblocked15:50:13
actor 4Rkk…qPe15KC9FJ…5wjfb9
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:50:13
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe15KC9FJ…5wjfb9
Settle positionERblocked15:50:23
actor 4Rkk…qPe157ue3x…BQMmXw
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:50:23
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe157ue3x…BQMmXw
Settle positionERblocked15:34:22
actor 4Rkk…qPe12wnUvp…zzcLyB
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:22
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe12wnUvp…zzcLyB
Settle positionERblocked15:34:33
actor 4Rkk…qPe12XCxfp…fC5BFW
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:33
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe12XCxfp…fC5BFW
Settle positionERblocked15:34:44
actor 4Rkk…qPe1HLVH2b…9sLZrR
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:44
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe1HLVH2b…9sLZrR
Settle positionERblocked15:34:54
actor 4Rkk…qPe1ST5ZuK…mdgBxQ
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:54
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe1ST5ZuK…mdgBxQ
Settle positionERblocked15:23:53
actor 4Rkk…qPe15xzphL…zyYEx7
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:53
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe15xzphL…zyYEx7
Settle positionERblocked15:24:03
actor 4Rkk…qPe1WskPxZ…uDTunr
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:03
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe1WskPxZ…uDTunr
Settle positionERblocked15:24:12
actor 4Rkk…qPe1hYJsys…8rpEwo
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:12
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe1hYJsys…8rpEwo
Settle positionERblocked15:24:21
actor 4Rkk…qPe15GQ53X…nrBtLK
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:21
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe15GQ53X…nrBtLK
Settle positionERblocked15:24:30
actor 4Rkk…qPe15B8vHN…gCNtEK
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:30
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe15B8vHN…gCNtEK