kestrel
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Market #103

settled
J4E4y8Tm…jFgb8iHu
Window
OpenApr 26, 12:40 (2026-04-26 12:40 UTC)
CloseApr 26, 12:45 (2026-04-26 12:45 UTC)
Strike77,979.37
Final77,943.89
WinnerDOWN
Rawno
create_market62TQs…EBT6Qdelegate_market51Vag…MNCfyopen_market2K3X8…VUzQwclose_markethyK5F…1Kbo7settle_positions4sPRZ…Epnwxcommit_and_undelegate5bk39…adMrj
Timeline
Create marketBASE12:25:32
id=103 open=1777207200 close=1777207500actor 7dcF…iNwZ62TQst…3EBT6Q
Delegate marketBASE12:25:34
actor 7dcF…iNwZ51Vagw…EMNCfy
Open marketER12:40:31
seed=1000000actor 7dcF…iNwZ2K3X8C…xVUzQw
Place betER12:40:41
YES • 200000actor 4Rkk…qPe121hpYp…t7CwfT
Inputs
SideYES
Stake (USDC)0.2
Strike77,979.37
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.5
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature21hpYp…t7CwfT
Actor4Rkk…qPe1
Bet attemptedER12:40:41
YES • 200000actor 4Rkk…qPe121hpYp…t7CwfT
Inputs
SideYES
Stake (USDC)0.2
Strike77,979.37
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.5
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature21hpYp…t7CwfT
Actor4Rkk…qPe1
Bet placedER12:40:41
YES • amount=200000 shares=166667actor 4Rkk…qPe121hpYp…t7CwfT
Bet placedER12:40:48
NO • amount=75000 shares=99083actor 8mV1…DDtW8xBh73…fqT3av
Place betER12:40:48
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW8xBh73…fqT3av
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike77,979.37
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature8xBh73…fqT3av
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Bet attemptedER12:40:48
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW8xBh73…fqT3av
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike77,979.37
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature8xBh73…fqT3av
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Place betER12:40:54
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW4PaRJK…zdiGzv
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike77,979.37
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature4PaRJK…zdiGzv
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Bet attemptedER12:40:54
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW4PaRJK…zdiGzv
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike77,979.37
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature4PaRJK…zdiGzv
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Bet placedER12:40:54
NO • amount=75000 shares=83968actor 8mV1…DDtW4PaRJK…zdiGzv
Cancel betER12:42:13
full positionactor 4Rkk…qPe14PZowK…evYQAt
Strike77,979.37
accepted
Cancel betER12:44:33
full positionactor 8mV1…DDtW4f32PF…JnWSi3
Strike77,979.37
accepted
Close marketER12:45:16
actor 7dcF…iNwZhyK5FU…q1Kbo7
Market closedER12:45:16
id=103 winner=Noactor 7dcF…iNwZhyK5FU…q1Kbo7
Commit + undelegateER12:45:18
actor 7dcF…iNwZ5bk39Z…VadMrj
Settle positionERblocked15:23:14
actor 4Rkk…qPe126okcr…HT4aUj
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:14
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe126okcr…HT4aUj
Settle positionERblocked15:23:24
actor 4Rkk…qPe12VU3kE…SUKGGm
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:24
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe12VU3kE…SUKGGm
Settle positionERblocked15:34:11
actor 4Rkk…qPe13KXRW9…TXuPo5
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:11
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe13KXRW9…TXuPo5
Settle positionERblocked15:23:33
actor 4Rkk…qPe14vnXBG…dU3hYb
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:33
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe14vnXBG…dU3hYb
Agent settledER15:50:13
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe12Z2DBm…fZEGvW
Settle positionERblocked15:50:13
actor 4Rkk…qPe12Z2DBm…fZEGvW
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Settle positionERblocked15:23:43
actor 4Rkk…qPe12J3fn3…MuZ3Lr
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:43
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe12J3fn3…MuZ3Lr
Settle positionERblocked15:50:22
actor 4Rkk…qPe15opHkP…XHND96
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:50:22
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe15opHkP…XHND96
Settle positionERblocked15:34:22
actor 4Rkk…qPe1641qso…VznkAW
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:22
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe1641qso…VznkAW
Settle positionERblocked15:34:32
actor 4Rkk…qPe14s1iEw…JeZKN8
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:32
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe14s1iEw…JeZKN8
Settle positionERblocked15:34:43
actor 4Rkk…qPe14HNfSx…4ikrkz
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:43
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe14HNfSx…4ikrkz
Settle positionERblocked15:34:54
actor 4Rkk…qPe14yFBHi…t3PyUV
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:54
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe14yFBHi…t3PyUV
Settle positionERblocked15:23:53
actor 4Rkk…qPe15TaMYe…iB3Hhj
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:53
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe15TaMYe…iB3Hhj
Settle positionERblocked15:24:02
actor 4Rkk…qPe1ofEeuj…KjdttH
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:02
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe1ofEeuj…KjdttH
Settle positionERblocked15:24:11
actor 4Rkk…qPe14XBP6n…m6rjno
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:11
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe14XBP6n…m6rjno
Settle positionERblocked15:24:21
actor 4Rkk…qPe1yvn1GW…GwkZUm
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:21
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe1yvn1GW…GwkZUm
Settle positionERblocked15:24:30
actor 4Rkk…qPe14sPRZm…YEpnwx
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:30
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe14sPRZm…YEpnwx