kestrel
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Market #102

settled
72mC1DQV…DhL3U337
Window
OpenApr 26, 12:35 (2026-04-26 12:35 UTC)
CloseApr 26, 12:40 (2026-04-26 12:40 UTC)
Strike77,975.82
Final77,979.37
WinnerUP
Rawyes
create_market2p2Yu…bMc2bdelegate_market2tD1Q…fAEe8open_marketgbWCV…b4W4jclose_market35AWv…Ky4uysettle_positions45jE5…wgnMNcommit_and_undelegate3RmR9…Jewg8
Timeline
Create marketBASE12:20:36
id=102 open=1777206900 close=1777207200actor 7dcF…iNwZ2p2YuP…MbMc2b
Delegate marketBASE12:20:38
actor 7dcF…iNwZ2tD1Qj…ffAEe8
Open marketER12:35:20
seed=1000000actor 7dcF…iNwZgbWCVo…db4W4j
Place betER12:35:26
YES • 200000actor 4Rkk…qPe141bCH7…apFR7E
Inputs
SideYES
Stake (USDC)0.2
Strike77,975.82
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.5
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature41bCH7…apFR7E
Actor4Rkk…qPe1
Bet attemptedER12:35:26
YES • 200000actor 4Rkk…qPe141bCH7…apFR7E
Inputs
SideYES
Stake (USDC)0.2
Strike77,975.82
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.5
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature41bCH7…apFR7E
Actor4Rkk…qPe1
Bet placedER12:35:26
YES • amount=200000 shares=166667actor 4Rkk…qPe141bCH7…apFR7E
Bet attemptedER12:35:35
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW44sMNF…uehzqR
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike77,975.82
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature44sMNF…uehzqR
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Place betER12:35:35
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW44sMNF…uehzqR
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike77,975.82
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature44sMNF…uehzqR
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Bet placedER12:35:35
NO • amount=75000 shares=99083actor 8mV1…DDtW44sMNF…uehzqR
Bet attemptedER12:35:41
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW9ZTrPc…1BQNFj
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike77,975.82
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature9ZTrPc…1BQNFj
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Place betER12:35:41
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW9ZTrPc…1BQNFj
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike77,975.82
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature9ZTrPc…1BQNFj
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Bet placedER12:35:41
NO • amount=75000 shares=83968actor 8mV1…DDtW9ZTrPc…1BQNFj
Cancel betER12:37:14
full positionactor 4Rkk…qPe1PUKjR3…z1PV4X
Strike77,975.82
accepted
Cancel betER12:39:33
full positionactor 8mV1…DDtWf2XN2L…LmZ5g2
Strike77,975.82
accepted
Close marketER12:40:31
actor 7dcF…iNwZ35AWv5…sKy4uy
Market closedER12:40:31
id=102 winner=Yesactor 7dcF…iNwZ35AWv5…sKy4uy
Commit + undelegateER12:40:34
actor 7dcF…iNwZ3RmR9y…ZJewg8
Settle positionERblocked15:23:14
actor 4Rkk…qPe12WRDXR…ovb4Jh
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:14
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe12WRDXR…ovb4Jh
Settle positionERblocked15:34:11
actor 4Rkk…qPe12J3fCo…ohCBrA
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:11
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe12J3fCo…ohCBrA
Settle positionERblocked15:23:23
actor 4Rkk…qPe15gJe19…tYL4X1
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:23
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe15gJe19…tYL4X1
Agent settledER15:50:12
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe13jDejn…jdiZJ6
Settle positionERblocked15:50:12
actor 4Rkk…qPe13jDejn…jdiZJ6
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:33
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe166PcmZ…iiVNY2
Settle positionERblocked15:23:33
actor 4Rkk…qPe166PcmZ…iiVNY2
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Settle positionERblocked15:23:43
actor 4Rkk…qPe14xzWyf…n4Kam6
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:43
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe14xzWyf…n4Kam6
Agent settledER15:50:22
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe1oyT1BX…4jarLu
Settle positionERblocked15:50:22
actor 4Rkk…qPe1oyT1BX…4jarLu
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Settle positionERblocked15:34:21
actor 4Rkk…qPe14vaRn5…fExCcZ
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:21
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe14vaRn5…fExCcZ
Settle positionERblocked15:34:32
actor 4Rkk…qPe128LYpC…PRG7vU
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:32
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe128LYpC…PRG7vU
Agent settledER15:34:43
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe1CpHx1g…fTnMY8
Settle positionERblocked15:34:43
actor 4Rkk…qPe1CpHx1g…fTnMY8
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:53
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe1615qtc…MrxZU2
Settle positionERblocked15:34:53
actor 4Rkk…qPe1615qtc…MrxZU2
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Settle positionERblocked15:23:52
actor 4Rkk…qPe14ZMRKK…HKz9r4
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:52
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe14ZMRKK…HKz9r4
Settle positionERblocked15:24:02
actor 4Rkk…qPe15pPSrE…s24aka
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:02
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe15pPSrE…s24aka
Settle positionERblocked15:24:11
actor 4Rkk…qPe13KR1BG…to5ghT
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:11
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe13KR1BG…to5ghT
Settle positionERblocked15:24:20
actor 4Rkk…qPe15wN2kh…DNR7MJ
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:20
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe15wN2kh…DNR7MJ
Settle positionERblocked15:24:30
actor 4Rkk…qPe145jE5A…ewgnMN
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:30
payout=0 side=Yesactor 4Rkk…qPe145jE5A…ewgnMN