kestrel
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Market #101

settled
xFLBmzaw…2Lzw6La5
Window
OpenApr 26, 12:30 (2026-04-26 12:30 UTC)
CloseApr 26, 12:35 (2026-04-26 12:35 UTC)
Strike77,976.99
Final77,975.82
WinnerDOWN
Rawno
create_market36Veq…EMtxMdelegate_market4epZP…tmuguopen_market5UGjQ…bHrRxclose_market34aSb…Bwikrsettle_positions42RxR…nzCf6commit_and_undelegate4CqkJ…BxYNu
Timeline
Create marketBASE12:15:06
id=101 open=1777206600 close=1777206900actor 7dcF…iNwZ36Veq8…tEMtxM
Delegate marketBASE12:15:08
actor 7dcF…iNwZ4epZP8…Gtmugu
Open marketER12:30:17
seed=1000000actor 7dcF…iNwZ5UGjQC…SbHrRx
Place betER12:30:32
YES • 200000actor 4Rkk…qPe12xdxNn…SAApdi
Inputs
SideYES
Stake (USDC)0.2
Strike77,976.99
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.5
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature2xdxNn…SAApdi
Actor4Rkk…qPe1
Bet attemptedER12:30:32
YES • 200000actor 4Rkk…qPe12xdxNn…SAApdi
Inputs
SideYES
Stake (USDC)0.2
Strike77,976.99
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.5
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature2xdxNn…SAApdi
Actor4Rkk…qPe1
Bet placedER12:30:32
YES • amount=200000 shares=166667actor 4Rkk…qPe12xdxNn…SAApdi
Bet attemptedER12:30:40
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW5Fh6E6…UR7VmN
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike77,976.99
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature5Fh6E6…UR7VmN
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Place betER12:30:40
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW5Fh6E6…UR7VmN
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike77,976.99
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature5Fh6E6…UR7VmN
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Bet placedER12:30:40
NO • amount=75000 shares=99083actor 8mV1…DDtW5Fh6E6…UR7VmN
Bet attemptedER12:30:46
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW5ALh1E…TQZ3es
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike77,976.99
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature5ALh1E…TQZ3es
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Place betER12:30:46
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW5ALh1E…TQZ3es
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike77,976.99
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature5ALh1E…TQZ3es
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Bet placedER12:30:46
NO • amount=75000 shares=83968actor 8mV1…DDtW5ALh1E…TQZ3es
Cancel betER12:32:12
full positionactor 4Rkk…qPe1365JsS…ebvTSf
Strike77,976.99
accepted
Cancel betER12:34:39
full positionactor 8mV1…DDtW2ekRbD…zy1nSg
Strike77,976.99
accepted
Close marketER12:35:20
actor 7dcF…iNwZ34aSbL…5Bwikr
Market closedER12:35:20
id=101 winner=Noactor 7dcF…iNwZ34aSbL…5Bwikr
Commit + undelegateER12:35:22
actor 7dcF…iNwZ4CqkJs…TBxYNu
Settle positionERblocked15:50:12
actor 4Rkk…qPe15sMMMv…8wUw9i
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:50:12
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe15sMMMv…8wUw9i
Settle positionERblocked15:23:13
actor 4Rkk…qPe13NJkoM…gnpZqd
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:13
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe13NJkoM…gnpZqd
Settle positionERblocked15:34:10
actor 4Rkk…qPe137dq2d…PQYAN2
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:10
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe137dq2d…PQYAN2
Agent settledER15:23:23
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe143mDD4…4NBuKc
Settle positionERblocked15:23:23
actor 4Rkk…qPe143mDD4…4NBuKc
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Settle positionERblocked15:23:32
actor 4Rkk…qPe15Jqq8r…cgV4JS
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:32
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe15Jqq8r…cgV4JS
Settle positionERblocked15:23:42
actor 4Rkk…qPe15gmURe…k4kct2
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:42
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe15gmURe…k4kct2
Settle positionERblocked15:50:22
actor 4Rkk…qPe134RfyU…MN1358
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:50:22
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe134RfyU…MN1358
Settle positionERblocked15:34:21
actor 4Rkk…qPe153kgFa…BRq8ej
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:21
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe153kgFa…BRq8ej
Settle positionERblocked15:34:31
actor 4Rkk…qPe1efXEYy…WJ6bDE
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:31
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe1efXEYy…WJ6bDE
Settle positionERblocked15:34:42
actor 4Rkk…qPe13JbTdZ…4BQ9Sg
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:42
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe13JbTdZ…4BQ9Sg
Settle positionERblocked15:23:52
actor 4Rkk…qPe143iQE3…V1u8UJ
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:52
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe143iQE3…V1u8UJ
Settle positionERblocked15:34:53
actor 4Rkk…qPe15GJgKv…iUs4hr
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:53
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe15GJgKv…iUs4hr
Settle positionERblocked15:24:01
actor 4Rkk…qPe14AQGPm…uDm9FV
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:01
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe14AQGPm…uDm9FV
Settle positionERblocked15:24:11
actor 4Rkk…qPe154v7bG…K3Jx3P
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:11
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe154v7bG…K3Jx3P
Settle positionERblocked15:24:20
actor 4Rkk…qPe14bETBw…wmP7Kf
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:20
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe14bETBw…wmP7Kf
Settle positionERblocked15:24:29
actor 4Rkk…qPe142RxRa…rnzCf6
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:29
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe142RxRa…rnzCf6