kestrel
← All markets

Market #100

settled
E34JLx9m…XurF2w5J
Window
OpenApr 26, 12:25 (2026-04-26 12:25 UTC)
CloseApr 26, 12:30 (2026-04-26 12:30 UTC)
Strike78,004.85
Final77,980.10
WinnerDOWN
Rawno
create_market2G9Za…nk3abdelegate_market3YvGB…N5GAKopen_marketjN4b3…XZRmFclose_marketFPjxk…aNnissettle_positions4PxCf…STGCicommit_and_undelegate5L8c5…jBxjY
Timeline
Create marketBASE12:10:45
id=100 open=1777206300 close=1777206600actor 7dcF…iNwZ2G9ZaW…8nk3ab
Delegate marketBASE12:10:47
actor 7dcF…iNwZ3YvGBE…SN5GAK
Open marketER12:25:34
seed=1000000actor 7dcF…iNwZjN4b3v…mXZRmF
Halt marketER12:25:44
actor 7dcF…iNwZ5hVCL4…E6fu2U
Market haltedER12:25:44
id=100actor 7dcF…iNwZ5hVCL4…E6fu2U
Resume marketER12:26:12
actor 7dcF…iNwZ2zJAT4…QsdV44
Market resumedER12:26:12
id=100actor 7dcF…iNwZ2zJAT4…QsdV44
Place betER12:26:48
YES • 200000actor 4Rkk…qPe12iSSib…3gVkCq
Inputs
SideYES
Stake (USDC)0.2
Strike78,004.85
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.5
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature2iSSib…3gVkCq
Actor4Rkk…qPe1
Bet attemptedER12:26:48
YES • 200000actor 4Rkk…qPe12iSSib…3gVkCq
Inputs
SideYES
Stake (USDC)0.2
Strike78,004.85
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.5
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature2iSSib…3gVkCq
Actor4Rkk…qPe1
Bet placedER12:26:48
YES • amount=200000 shares=166667actor 4Rkk…qPe12iSSib…3gVkCq
Place betER12:27:04
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW3PugKV…D1rZZb
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike78,004.85
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature3PugKV…D1rZZb
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Bet attemptedER12:27:04
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW3PugKV…D1rZZb
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike78,004.85
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature3PugKV…D1rZZb
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Bet placedER12:27:04
NO • amount=75000 shares=99083actor 8mV1…DDtW3PugKV…D1rZZb
Cancel betER12:28:05
full positionactor 4Rkk…qPe12hUC4H…Jntc5L
Strike78,004.85
accepted
Place betER12:28:35
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW3Q28v9…8776ZY
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike78,004.85
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature3Q28v9…8776ZY
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Bet attemptedER12:28:35
NO • 75000actor 8mV1…DDtW3Q28v9…8776ZY
Inputs
SideNO
Stake (USDC)0.075
Strike78,004.85
Policy checks
Max stake/window0.25
Within capyes
Markets root0x59642ec3…
Agent pausedno
Decision
accepted
Reason—
Tx sig
ClusterER
Signature3Q28v9…8776ZY
Actor8mV1…DDtW
Bet placedER12:28:35
NO • amount=75000 shares=60668actor 8mV1…DDtW3Q28v9…8776ZY
Cancel betER12:29:35
full positionactor 8mV1…DDtW5LpHJv…TZ7aGD
Strike78,004.85
accepted
Close marketER12:30:17
actor 7dcF…iNwZFPjxkb…iaNnis
Market closedER12:30:17
id=100 winner=Noactor 7dcF…iNwZFPjxkb…iaNnis
Commit + undelegateER12:30:20
actor 7dcF…iNwZ5L8c5R…3jBxjY
Settle positionERblocked15:50:11
actor 4Rkk…qPe12iRhB8…3mumit
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:50:11
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe12iRhB8…3mumit
Settle positionERblocked15:23:13
actor 4Rkk…qPe12hEiQN…Lwj2kM
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:13
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe12hEiQN…Lwj2kM
Settle positionERblocked15:23:22
actor 4Rkk…qPe14XpbrQ…NriWH4
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:22
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe14XpbrQ…NriWH4
Settle positionERblocked15:23:32
actor 4Rkk…qPe13fnSci…yjsgmh
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:32
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe13fnSci…yjsgmh
Settle positionERblocked15:23:41
actor 4Rkk…qPe14eFV35…NqEfVw
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:41
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe14eFV35…NqEfVw
Settle positionERblocked15:50:21
actor 4Rkk…qPe13Dej8E…iUTVD2
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:50:21
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe13Dej8E…iUTVD2
Settle positionERblocked15:34:20
actor 4Rkk…qPe1RW9T3h…8hax8t
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:20
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe1RW9T3h…8hax8t
Settle positionERblocked15:34:31
actor 4Rkk…qPe152q4DV…TduwSn
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:31
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe152q4DV…TduwSn
Settle positionERblocked15:34:42
actor 4Rkk…qPe14jscPD…x1uYBp
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:42
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe14jscPD…x1uYBp
Settle positionERblocked15:23:51
actor 4Rkk…qPe1rFNsyd…t2vSaF
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:23:51
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe1rFNsyd…t2vSaF
Settle positionERblocked15:34:52
actor 4Rkk…qPe12AFExF…tpESgT
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:34:52
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe12AFExF…tpESgT
Settle positionERblocked15:24:01
actor 4Rkk…qPe15XfWbG…JvCuSh
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:01
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe15XfWbG…JvCuSh
Settle positionERblocked15:24:10
actor 4Rkk…qPe1PPD91W…WvfJmD
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:10
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe1PPD91W…WvfJmD
Settle positionERblocked15:24:19
actor 4Rkk…qPe14X4qB7…SVfsJW
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:19
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe14X4qB7…SVfsJW
Settle positionERblocked15:24:29
actor 4Rkk…qPe14PxCfW…ESTGCi
"InvalidWritableAccount"
Agent settledER15:24:29
payout=0 side=Noactor 4Rkk…qPe14PxCfW…ESTGCi